rant · moment 11 of 12
2028 Poly Market Odds and the End-Stage Trump Supporter
from JD Vance, Drafted To Iran, & The End Times | The Tim Dillon Show #511 · #511
6 min
Tim runs down Polymarket odds for 2028 Democratic and Republican contenders (Ossoff, AOC, Newsom, Vance, Rubio, Tucker, even Trump at 2%), then describes the "late-stage alcoholism" energy of remaining hardcore Trump supporters, illustrated by an anecdote about his friend's father who refused to stop drinking.
- Trump compared to an old-time carnival barker at least being upfront about destruction.
- Poly Market odds show Assaf at 15%, AOC at 20%, Newsom at 14% as potential Democratic nominees.
- Republican midterm strategy: their slogan is 'it's the end times, deal with it.'
- Tim notes Vance is at 50% in succession odds, Rubio at 20%, Tucker at 3%.
- Donald Trump himself has only 2% odds on Poly Market for another run.
- End-stage Trump supporters described as drunk, dancing in driveways long after block parties end, yelling at children.
- Supporting Trump at this point is like late-stage alcoholism where it's no longer fun.
- Story of a friend's father who refused to quit drinking, switched to clear liquor instead, died of cirrhosis three years later.
- Modern Trump supporters are like that refusing alcoholic: doctors say stop entirely, they negotiate to 'just switch to clear.'
- The paradox of end-stage Trump supporters: they live like it's always the end times, yet somehow keep surviving and killing others.
Donald TrumpTucker CarlsonGavin NewsomMarco RubioAlexandria Ocasio-CortezJ D Vance