rant · moment 10 of 11
Can Trump Win in 2020? The Wall, the Economy, and the Republican Gamble
from Bavarian Cream Pie · #127
Audio-only archive episode — no video to seek.
9 minThey debate whether Trump can win reelection given the stalled wall funding, a possibly tanking economy, and no healthcare replacement, discussing how Trump's political strength depends on momentum and how the GOP's demographic gamble on nationalism could backfire.
- 1:02:59Economy tanking, no wall funding, Trump facing a difficult 2020 with a Democratic house incoming.
- 1:03:27Obamacare repeal failing and no replacement coming — people expecting alternatives aren't getting them.
- 1:03:52Trump can only win if he's winning — he needs momentum and audience enthusiasm, not a comeback story.
- 1:04:36In debates when losing by every poll, Trump acted like he was winning and believed his own narrative.
- 1:05:01Trump won even if he lost because his supporters loved him — unlike past presidents who had to recalibrate when people turned.
- 1:05:50Getting beaten every day politically didn't matter when he was filling 10,000-seat stadiums with screaming crowds.
- 1:06:49Republican Party remade itself as Trump's party, but the model doesn't work without Trump at the top for the next guy.
- 1:07:49People voted for Trump knowing what he was — not swindled, but leaning into their worst inclinations.
- 1:08:39Conservative media figures like Sean Hannity and Tucker Carlson don't know how to defend Trump anymore without the wall or economy working.
- 1:10:03Republicans see Trump as a Hail Mary — if he fails without the wall, the party is one-and-done because they believe Jeb Bush loses to immigration numbers.
- 1:11:12Right-wing media and Fox News personalities are more powerful than party machinery, and Trump listens to TV personalities over policy experts.
- 1:11:59Trump prefers media figures like Ann Coulter with wealth and visibility over Heritage Foundation think-tank people making 300K a year.
Donald TrumpRepublican PartyTucker CarlsonAnn CoulterSean HannityHeritage FoundationSteve BannonGeorge W. BushJeb BushBarack ObamaHillary ClintonBill Crystal